Government Shutdown Risk Index

An ongoing analysis by The Political Rift tracking legislative momentum, agency exposure, and funding signals shaping federal shutdown risk.

How this works: This index tracks legislative activity, funding deadlines, and agency-level signals to illustrate how federal shutdown risk evolves over time. Signals update automatically as public congressional activity changes.

Shutdown Risk

Elevated
Risk level
Elevated
LowHigh

Signal summary

  • Baseline deadline: 2026-10-01
  • Days remaining: 179
  • Funding vehicles detected: 0
  • Related keyword hits: 10
  • Velocity (14d): 0
  • Funding votes (7d): 0
  • Last signal date:
  • Last refreshed: 2026-04-04T09:30:05+00:00

Momentum

Quiet
Legislative velocity
0 signals (14d)
LowHigh
Funding vote activity
0 votes (7d)
QuietActive

Latest Funding Votes

Last 3

No funding-related votes detected in the latest scan.

Latest funding signals

Auto from Congress.gov bills
No funding vehicles detected in the latest scan.
Related bills (not classified as funding vehicles)

Countdown tracker

Auto milestones
2026-10-01
Fiscal funding cliff
Baseline deadline if no CR or appropriations extends funding.

Agency risk

Auto from mentions
Agency
Signals
Status
DHS
15
Elevated
DOE
15
Elevated
Treas
14
Elevated
DOT
7
Watch
USDA
3
Stable
DOJ
1
Stable
HHS
1
Stable

Legislative climate

Auto from signals
  • Funding mode: Quiet
  • Momentum: Quiet
  • Velocity (14d): 0
  • Funding vehicles: 0
  • Funding votes (7d): 0

Disclaimer: This is an editorial analysis published by The Political Rift. It is not an official government tracker or a prediction of future outcomes.